La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.10.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Futbol
Mallorca
Mallorca
1 : 0
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.06 / 2 4.31
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 45.7% / X 31.8% / Rayo Vallecano 22.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 45.7%
X 31.8%
2 22.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.78 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.13 47.0%
Х 3.06 32.7%
П2 4.31 23.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.61 62.1%
ТМ 1.5 2.45 40.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.45 69.0%
П2 2.92 34.3%
Match center
Mallorca
L W W W L
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid
23.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Rayo Vallecano
W D D D W
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Valladolid
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Leganes
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 GironaGirona
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Rayo Vallecano

Mallorca
0 matches total
Rayo Vallecano
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history