La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Mallorca
Mallorca
1 : 0
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Real Sociedad 17 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.17 / X 2.76 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 30.7% / X 35.3% / Real Sociedad 34.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.6%
1 30.7%
X 35.3%
2 34.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Real Sociedad

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.87 market consensus · line only
X 2.76 market consensus · line only
1 3.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.48 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.17 31.6%
Х 2.76 36.2%
П2 2.87 34.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.48 67.6%
home_draw 1.47 68.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.74 57.5%
ТМ 1.5 2.21 45.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.05 48.8%
П2 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Mallorca
L
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Real Sociedad
L D
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.09 17:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 GetafeGetafe
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Real Sociedad

Mallorca
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history