La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Mallorca
Mallorca
0 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Real Sociedad 28 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.18 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 30.9% / X 29.8% / Real Sociedad 39.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 30.9%
X 29.8%
2 39.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 3.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.16 31.7%
Х 3.32 30.1%
П2 2.44 41.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.21 31.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 3.10 32.3%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.29 30.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
П2 2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Mallorca
L L L W L
22.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:2 SeltaSelta
15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
07.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
02.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 4:1 SevillaSevilla
25.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Real Sociedad
D L W D W
21.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:3 OviedoOviedo
14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 ЭльчеЭльче
01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 SeltaSelta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Real Sociedad

Mallorca
3 matches total
Real Sociedad
Mallorca: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Sociedad: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Mallorca 2:0 (12.04 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 12.04 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
0:1
Real Sociedad
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
2:0
Real Sociedad
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
1:0
Real Sociedad