La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Villarreal

Spain Futbol
Mallorca
Mallorca
1 : 2
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Villarreal 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.32 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 41.9% / X 29.3% / Villarreal 28.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 41.9%
X 29.3%
2 28.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 44.5%
Under 2.5 55.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Villarreal

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.32 43.1%
Х 3.32 30.1%
П2 3.38 29.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.18 45.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.62 61.7%
П2 2.38 42.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Villarreal

Mallorca
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history