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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Alaves

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
3 : 0
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Alaves December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 2.94 / 2 3.61
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 41.4% / X 32.3% / Alaves 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 41.4%
X 32.3%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Under 2.5 66.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.62 market consensus · line only
X 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 2.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.34 42.7%
X 3.01 33.2%
3.74 26.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.28 43.9% 2.29 43.7% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1%
X 2.88 34.7% 2.94 34.0% 3.07 32.6% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.74 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Osasuna
L W D L L
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 LevanteLevante
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 MallorcaMallorca
22.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
08.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Alaves
L W L L L
14.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
29.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
22.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 SeltaSelta
08.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 GironaGirona
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Alaves

Osasuna
1 matches total
Alaves
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 24.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (24.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
1:1
Alaves