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La Liga
La Liga Spain
03.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 1
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Athletic Club January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.02 / X 2.95 / 2 2.60
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 31.4% / X 32.1% / Athletic Club 36.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 31.4%
X 32.1%
2 36.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 37.9%
Under 2.5 62.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.60 market consensus · line only
X 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 3.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.10 32.3%
X 3.02 33.1%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 2.96 33.8% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
2.52 39.7% 2.61 38.3% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Osasuna
W L W D L
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:0 AlavesAlaves
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 LevanteLevante
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 MallorcaMallorca
22.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Athletic Club
L L W L W
22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:2 SeltaSelta
06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
03.12 18:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
29.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 LevanteLevante
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Athletic Club

Osasuna
0 matches total
Athletic Club
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history