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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
15.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 0
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Atletico Madrid May 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.88 / X 3.41 / 2 2.10
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 25.1% / X 28.6% / Atletico Madrid 46.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 25.1%
X 28.5%
2 46.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 3.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.88 25.8%
X 3.41 29.3%
2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.81 55.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.77 36.1%
1.49 67.1%
Match center
Osasuna
D L W W W
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 SevillaSevilla
20.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 Valladolid
13.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Atletico Madrid
W D W L W
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:0 AlavesAlaves
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
19.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
14.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:2 Valladolid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Atletico Madrid

Osasuna
0 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history