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La Liga
La Liga Spain
36 round 12.05.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
12.05.2026 19:30 UTC 36 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 2
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Atletico Madrid May 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.53 / 2 2.71
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 38.1% / X 26.9% / Atletico Madrid 35.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 38.1%
X 26.9%
2 35.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium El-Sadar (Pamplona, Spain), 18 647 zriteley (79% pri vmestimosti 23 576)
Referee Khose Gusman Mansilya
Start 12.05.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Atletico Madrid

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Osasuna - Atletiko M, 12 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 36 round. Osasuna - Atletiko M, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 Fonbet · line only
X 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.48 40.3% 2.60 38.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.64 37.9% 2.77 36.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 — 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.0 — 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% —
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4% —
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0% —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0% —
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% —
Under 3.5 1.44 69.4% —
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5% —
Match center
Osasuna

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Atletico Madrid

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Nikolas Gonsales Dzhuliano Simeone Dzhonni Kardozo Khulian Alvares Khose Khimenes Nauel Molina Pablo Barrios Diskvalifitsirovannye Serkhio Errera CHAMP
Match center
Osasuna
L L W L D
08.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:3 LevanteLevante
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
26.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 SevillaSevilla
21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Atletico Madrid
L W W L L
09.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:1 SeltaSelta
02.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:0 ValenciaValencia
25.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 2:3 ElcheElche
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:2 SevillaSevilla
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Atletico Madrid

Osasuna
2 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico Madrid: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Osasuna 2:0 (15.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
0:1
Atletiko Madrid
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
2:0
Atletiko Madrid
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Osasuna
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Atletico Madrid
Osasuna Team comparison Atletico Madrid
35 Games 35
11 Wins 19
9 Draws 6
15 Losses 10
42 Scored 58
45 Conceded 38
42 Points 63
83.09 Attacks 116.41
43.39 Dangerous attacks 57.06
0 Big chances 0
11.14 Shots on goal 13.23
3.69 Shots on target 5.23
zhdeniya 2 0.2 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Ademola Lukman 0:1 15' Aleksandr Serlot Markos Lorente 0:2 71' Enrike Barkha Raul 1:2 90+1' Nakazaniya Khavi Galan 14' Ruben Garsiya 30' Ante Budimir 45+9' Markos Lorente 52' Koke 57' Enrike Barkha 57' Mark Pubil 59' Markos Lorente 79' Alekhandro Katena 85' Roben Le Norman 85' Flaven Boyomo 90+2' VAR Khuan Musso 45+1'

Osasuna Atletiko M 35 Games 35 11 Wins 19 9 Draws 6 15 Losses 10 42 Scored 58 45 Conceded 38 42 Points 63 83.09 Attacks 116.41 43.39 Dangerous attacks 57.06 0 Big chances 0 11.14 Shots on goal 13.23 3.69 Udary v stvor 5.23 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.49 Uglovye 6.37 1.4 Offsaydy 2.09 13.37 Foly 11.26 46 % vladeniya myachom 53.91 2.31 Warnings 2 0.2 Sendoffs 0.11 Goly Ademola Lukman 0:1 15' Aleksandr Serlot Markos Lorente 0:2 71' Enrike Barkha Raul 1:2 90+1' Nakazaniya Khavi Galan 14' Ruben Garsiya 30' Ante Budimir 45+9' Markos Lorente 52' Koke 57' Enrike Barkha 57' Mark Pubil 59' Markos Lorente 79' Alekhandro Katena 85' Roben Le Norman 85' Flaven Boyomo 90+2' VAR Khuan Musso 45+1'