La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Barcelona

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
4 : 2
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Barcelona 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.71 / X 4.06 / 2 1.75
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 20.6% / X 23.9% / Barcelona 55.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 20.6%
X 23.9%
2 55.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Barcelona

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · line only
X 4.06 market consensus · line only
1 4.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.71 21.2%
Х 4.06 24.6%
П2 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.21 45.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.35 42.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.63 27.6%
П2 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Osasuna
D W L W
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:0 ValenciaValencia
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 SeltaSelta
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
7 Points
Barcelona
W W W
25.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 GetafeGetafe
22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:1 VillarrealVillarreal
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Barcelona

Osasuna
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history