La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Celta Vigo

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
3 : 2
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Celta Vigo 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.28 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 37.9% / X 29.7% / Celta Vigo 32.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 37.9%
X 29.7%
2 32.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 45.4%
Under 2.5 54.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Celta Vigo

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.57 38.9%
Х 3.28 30.5%
П2 3.00 33.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.14 46.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.79 55.9%
П2 2.09 47.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Celta Vigo

Osasuna
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history