La Liga
La Liga Spain
26.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Celta Vigo

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 3
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Celta Vigo 26 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.10 / 2 2.95
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 37.0% / X 30.7% / Celta Vigo 32.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 36.9%
X 30.7%
2 32.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.69 37.2%
Х 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.01 33.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.58 38.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.86 35.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Osasuna
L W L D L
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
03.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 GetafeGetafe
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 ЭльчеЭльче
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Celta Vigo
D D L D D
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 ЭльчеЭльче
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Celta Vigo

Osasuna
1 matches total
Celta Vigo
Osasuna: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Osasuna 3:2 (01.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 01.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
3:2
Selta