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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Espanyol

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 0
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Espanyol May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.40 / 2 4.54
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 50.1% / X 28.6% / Espanyol 21.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 50.1%
X 28.6%
2 21.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 42.4%
Under 2.5 57.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.94 51.6%
X 3.40 29.4%
4.54 22.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 2.5 1.68 59.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
3.25 30.8%
Match center
Osasuna
W D L W W
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 SevillaSevilla
20.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 Valladolid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Espanyol
L L L L D
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
11.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 Leganes
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 ValenciaValencia
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Espanyol

Osasuna
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history