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La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.05.2026 17:00 UTC 37 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Espanyol

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 2
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Espanyol May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 2.94 / 2 4.08
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 44.4% / X 32.3% / Espanyol 23.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 44.5%
X 32.2%
2 23.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 40.7%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Osasuna

Main outcome Osasuna
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 44.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium El-Sadar (Pamplona, Spain), 21 186 zriteley (90% pri vmestimosti 23 576)
Referee Migel Ankhel Ortis Aryas
Start 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Espanyol

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Osasuna - Espanol, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 37 round. Osasuna - Espanol, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 16
Statistics 22
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
11' 11' Yellow Card | P. Lozano Pol Lozano Espanyol
27' 27' Normal Goal | C. Romero Carlos Romero Espanyol
49' 49' Normal Goal | V. Munoz V. Munoz Osasuna
53' 53' Normal Goal | K. Garcia Kike García Espanyol
55' 55' Substitution 1 | P. Lozano | assist/sub out: C. Pickel Pol Lozano Espanyol
58' 58' Substitution 3 | L. Torro | assist/sub out: I. Munoz L. Torro Osasuna
58' 58' Substitution 2 | J. Moncayola | assist/sub out: M. Gomez J. Moncayola Osasuna
58' 58' Substitution 4 | J. Moncayola | assist/sub out: M. Gomez J. Moncayola Osasuna
Metric Osasuna Espanyol SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.72 0.79 final
Zablokirovannye udary 11 2 final
Shots off target 5 2 final
Shots on target 8 3 final
Udary vsego 24 7 final
Fouls soversheno 10 13 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 2 4 final
Osasuna #1 S. Herrera, #7 J. Moncayola, #17 A. Budimir, #21 V. Munoz, #23 A. Bretones, #6 L. Torro, #10 A. Oroz, #22 F. Boyomo, #14 R. Garcia, #24 A. Catena, #19 V. Rosier
Espanyol #11 Pere Milla, #13 M. Dmitrović, #19 Kike García, #22 Carlos Romero, #6 L. Cabrera, #8 Edu Expósito, #10 Pol Lozano, #4 Urko González, #38 C. Riedel, #23 O. El Hilali, #24 T. Dolan
Player Team Metric SStats
Antoniu Roca Espanyol football.player.assists 0
Antoniu Roca Espanyol football.player.minutes_played 14
C. Pickel Espanyol football.player.assists 0
C. Pickel Espanyol football.player.minutes_played 35
C. Riedel Espanyol football.player.assists 0
C. Riedel Espanyol football.player.minutes_played 90
Carlos Romero Espanyol football.player.assists 0
Carlos Romero Espanyol football.player.goals 1
Carlos Romero Espanyol football.player.minutes_played 90
Edu Expósito Espanyol football.player.assists 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.18 45.9% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
X 2.90 34.5% 3.02 33.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8% 2.75 36.4%
3.75 26.7% 4.32 23.2% 3.70 27.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.88 53.2% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.25 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.5 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.75 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.0 1.71 58.5%
Over 2.25 2.12 47.2%
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 3.5 4.33 23.1%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Osasuna

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Espanyol

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Raul Moro Travmirovannye Khaver Puado Siril Ngonzh
Match center
Osasuna
L L L W L
12.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
08.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:3 LevanteLevante
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
26.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 SevillaSevilla
21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Espanyol
W L L D L
13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
09.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 SevillaSevilla
03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:0 LevanteLevante
23.04 18:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Espanyol

Osasuna
2 matches total
Espanyol
Osasuna: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Osasuna 2:0 (18.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 18.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
0:1
Espanyol
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
2:0
Espanyol
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Osasuna
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Espanyol
Osasuna Team comparison Espanyol
36 Games 36
11 Wins 11
9 Draws 9
16 Losses 16
43 Scored 40
47 Conceded 53
42 Points 42
84.44 Attacks 87.88
44.65 Dangerous attacks 42.53
0 Big chances 0
11.47 Shots on goal 12.11
3.72 Shots on target 4.14
niya 2.36 0.19 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Karlos Romero 0:1 27' Viktor Munos Flaven Boyomo 1 49' Kike Tayris Dolan 1:2 53' Nakazaniya Pol Losano 11' Iker Munos 83' Antoniu Roka 90'

Osasuna Espanol 36 Games 36 11 Wins 11 9 Draws 9 16 Losses 16 43 Scored 40 47 Conceded 53 42 Points 42 84.44 Attacks 87.88 44.65 Dangerous attacks 42.53 0 Big chances 0 11.47 Shots on goal 12.11 3.72 Udary v stvor 4.14 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.61 Uglovye 4.81 1.36 Offsaydy 1.86 13.42 Foly 13.78 46.33 % vladeniya myachom 42.58 2.42 Warnings 2.36 0.19 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Karlos Romero 0:1 27' Viktor Munos Flaven Boyomo 1 49' Kike Tayris Dolan 1:2 53' Nakazaniya Pol Losano 11' Iker Munos 83' Antoniu Roka 90'