La Liga
La Liga Spain
03.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Getafe

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 1
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Getafe 3 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 2.87 / 2 4.07
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 43.2% / X 33.3% / Getafe 23.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 43.2%
X 33.3%
2 23.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 29.7%
Under 2.5 70.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.08 market consensus · line only
X 2.87 market consensus · line only
1 2.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.95 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.25 44.4%
Х 2.91 34.4%
П2 4.18 23.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1%
Х 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 2.94 34.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%
П2 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.54 64.9%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.58 38.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.59 38.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Osasuna
L D L W L
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 ЭльчеЭльче
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Getafe
D D L W L
27.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 AlavesAlaves
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 OviedoOviedo
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:3 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Getafe

Osasuna
1 matches total
Getafe
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 05.10 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.10 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
1:1
Getafe