La Liga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Osasuna — 45%
Model estimate: win Osasuna 44.8%, draw 27.1%, win Girona 28.1%. Model favourite — Osasuna.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Osasuna: Win 2.07 Osasuna: Draw 3.56 Girona Win: 3.79 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.96 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.94 Individualnyy total golov Osasuna bolshe 1.5: 2.06 Individualnyy total golov Osasuna menshe 1.5: 1.81 Individualnyy total golov Girona bolshe 0.5…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.26 44.3% | |
| X | 3.46 28.9% |
| 3.30 30.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 3.55 28.2% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.78 26.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.99 50.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
Osasuna
Girona
Osasuna
Girona
Osasuna
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
Valencia
Real Madrid
Elche
Girona
Athletic Club
Levante
Selta
Alaves
Barselona
Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Girona
La Liga
Girona
La Liga
Girona
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Osasuna - Girona breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
