La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Las Palmas

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 1
Finished
Las Palmas
Las Palmas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Las Palmas 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.43 / 2 4.29
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 49.1% / X 28.3% / Las Palmas 22.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 49.0%
X 28.3%
2 22.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 43.4%
Under 2.5 56.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Las Palmas

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.43 29.2%
П2 4.29 23.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.24 44.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.41 70.9%
П2 3.07 32.6%
Match center
Osasuna
L W
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:3 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points
Las Palmas
L L
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 0:2 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Las Palmas

Osasuna
0 matches total
Las Palmas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history