Match center
Start
14.09.2025 16:30 UTC
14.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano 14 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.
Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 2.96 / 2 2.88
- 1X2 market: Osasuna 34.7% / X 32.3% / Rayo Vallecano 33.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
34.7%
X
32.2%
2
33.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5
35.7%
Under 2.5
64.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.88
market consensus · line only
X
2.96
market consensus · line only
1
2.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.45
market consensus · line only
12
1.40
market consensus · line only
1X
1.42
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.15
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.79
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.58
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.66
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.68
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.13
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Х | 2.97 33.7% |
| П2 | 2.90 34.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.72 36.8% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.84 35.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% |
| Х | 2.92 34.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.92 34.3% |
| П2 | 2.85 35.1% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.98 33.6% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.85 35.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.66 60.2% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.09 47.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.44 69.4% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.53 65.4% |
| home_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.37 73.0% |
Match center
Osasuna
L
W
L
D
W
31.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Osasuna
0:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
24.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Osasuna
1:0
Valencia
Valencia
19.08 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Osasuna
0:1
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
24.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Osasuna
1:1
Alaves
Alaves
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Osasuna
2:0
Espanyol
Espanyol
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.6
Conceded
7
Points
Rayo Vallecano
D
L
W
D
W
31.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Barselona
Barselona
25.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
15.08 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Girona
Girona
24.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:1
Selta
Selta
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
1
matches total
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Rayo Vallecano 1:3 (16.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 16.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
16.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Osasuna
1:3
Rayo Vallecano