PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
La Liga
La Liga Spain
12.04.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Реал Бетис

Spain Futbol
Stadium Эль-Садар
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 1
Finished
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Osasuna — 38%

1 · Osasuna38.2%
X · draw27.5%
2 · Реал Бетис34.3%

Model estimate: win Osasuna 38.2%, draw 27.5%, win Реал Бетис 34.3%. Model favourite — Osasuna.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Реал Бетис 12 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Strongest: Osasuna - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.43 / 2 3.35
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 44.0% / X 27.7% / Реал Бетис 28.4%
  • Glicko: Osasuna 38.2% / X 27.5% / Реал Бетис 34.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 79.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 44.0%
X 27.7%
2 28.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 41.8%
Total ТБ 2.5
Score 2:1

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 12.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Stadium Эль-Садар (Памплона)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Osasuna 38%
💹 Market Osasuna 4395%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Osasuna - Реал Бетис

Osasuna: Победа 2.20 Osasuna: Ничья 3.40 Real Betis Победа: 3.25 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.91 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 1.91 Индивидуальный тотал голов Osasuna больше 1.5: 2.10 Индивидуальный тотал голов Osasuna меньше 1.5: 1.67 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Betis бо…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 10
Statistics 24
Lineups 44
min Event Player Team
7' 7' Normal Goal | Abdessamad Ezzalzouli Real Betis
24' 24' Yellow Card | Sergi Altimira Real Betis
29' 29' Yellow Card | Héctor Bellerín Adrián Real Betis
34' 34' Yellow Card | Alejandro Catena Osasuna
39' 39' Yellow Card | Antony G. Aguilar Real Betis
40' 40' Penalty | Ante Budimir Osasuna
44' 44' Yellow Card | Jorge Herrando Osasuna
46' 46' Substitution 1 | Antony | assist/sub out: Rodrigo Riquelme G. Aguilar Real Betis
Metric Osasuna Реал Бетис SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.45 0.41 final
Заблокированные удары 6 4 final
Удары мимо 2 1 final
Удары в створ 4 3 final
Удары всего 12 8 final
Фолы совершено 14 12 final
Желтые карточки 3 4 final
Офсайды 4 2 final
Osasuna #1 Álvaro Vallés, #2 Héctor Bellerín, #3 Diego Llorente, #4 Natan, #6 Sergi Altimira, #7 Antony, #8 Pablo Fornals, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #14 S. Amrabat, #16 V. Gómez, #19 C. Hernandez
Real Betis #1 S. Herrera, #5 J. Herrando, #7 J. Moncayola, #8 I. Munoz, #10 A. Oroz, #14 R. Garcia, #17 A. Budimir, #19 V. Rosier, #20 J. Galan, #21 V. Munoz, #24 A. Catena
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Bretones Real Betis Сейвы 0
A. Budimir Real Betis football.player.assists 0
A. Budimir Real Betis Дриблинг попытки 2
A. Budimir Real Betis Единоборства выиграно 7
A. Budimir Real Betis Фолы совершено 1
A. Budimir Real Betis football.player.goals 1
A. Budimir Real Betis Пропущено голов 1
A. Budimir Real Betis Сейвы 0
A. Budimir Real Betis football.player.minutes_played 81
A. Budimir Real Betis Ключевые пасы 9
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Osasuna 43.0% 38.2% market and model agree
Draw 27.1% 27.5% draw risk
Реал Бетис 29.9% 34.3%
xG - 1.25 : 1.17
Total 2.5 Over 79.9% - Under 20.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 38.2% / 27.5% / 34.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,513 / 1,553 Osasuna / Real Betis
RD 73 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 market consensus · no value · model 34.3%
X 3.43 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.16 market consensus · no value · model 38.2%
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · weak value +3.8% · model 61.8%
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.5%
1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 65.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · weak value +53.4% · model 79.9%
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 20.1%
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.12 47.2% 2.17 46.1% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
П2 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 0.75 — — 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25 — — 1.15 87.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.30 76.9% — 1.27 78.7%
ТБ 1.75 — — 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% —
ТБ 3.5 3.25 30.8% — —
ТБ 4.5 6.25 16.0% — —
ТМ 0.5 9.00 11.1% — —
ТМ 1.5 3.45 29.0% — —
ТМ 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% —
ТМ 3.5 1.33 75.2% — —
ТМ 4.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Match center
Osasuna
Founded 1920
Реал Бетис
Founded 1907
Match center
Osasuna
FB F. Boyomo Yellow Cards
IB Iker Benito Knee Injury
Реал Бетис
I Isco Ankle Injury
JF Junior Firpo Injury
Osasuna Founded: 1920
Реал Бетис Founded: 1907
Match center
Osasuna
D W L D L
05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 AlavesAlaves
21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 GironaGirona
15.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
07.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 MallorcaMallorca
01.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Реал Бетис
D L D L D
04.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
22.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 SeltaSelta
08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 0:2 GetafeGetafe
01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:2 SevillaSevilla
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Реал Бетис

Osasuna
3 matches total
Реал Бетис
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Реал Бетис: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Реал Бетис 0:2 (28.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 19.10 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (11.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
0:2
Реал Бетис
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
1:1
Реал Бетис
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
1:2
Реал Бетис
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.