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La Liga Spain

21.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Osasuna - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Osasuna

2 : 1

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Real Madrid February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.73 / X 4.09 / 2 1.70
1X2 market: Osasuna 20.3% / X 23.5% / Real Madrid 56.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 20.2%

X 23.4%

2 56.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%

Over 2.5 56.9%

Under 2.5 43.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Osasuna - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.71 market consensus · line only

X 4.09 market consensus · line only

1 4.74 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.21 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 2.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.17 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.16 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.81 20.8%
X	4.10 24.4%
	1.72 58.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	4.80 20.8%	4.92 20.3%	4.50 22.2%	4.80 20.8%	4.81 20.8%	4.81 20.8%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.26 23.5%	4.00 25.0%	4.15 24.1%	4.10 24.4%	4.10 24.4%
	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.23 44.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.23 44.8%	2.10 47.6%
yes	1.66 60.2%	1.64 61.0%	1.67 59.9%	1.64 61.0%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_away	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.27 78.7%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	2.23 44.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.24 44.6%	2.23 44.8%	2.23 44.8%	2.15 46.5%

Match center

Osasuna

D W D W W

13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:0 Elche

06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:1 Selta

31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:2 Villarreal

24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 3:1 Rayo Vallecano

17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 3:2 Oviedo

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

11 Points

Real Madrid

W W W W W

14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad

08.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Valencia

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Rayo Vallecano

24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Villarreal

17.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Levante

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.4 Scored

0.4 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Real Madrid

Osasuna

1 matches total

Real Madrid

Osasuna: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 0:1 (19.08 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 19.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.08 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Osasuna

0:1

Real Madrid