Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

La Liga Spain

22.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

22.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Osasuna - Real Sociedad

Spain Football

Osasuna

1 : 3

Finished

Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Real Sociedad November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.06 / 2 2.76
1X2 market: Osasuna 34.3% / X 31.1% / Real Sociedad 34.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 34.4%

X 31.1%

2 34.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 41.4%

Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 22.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Osasuna - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.76 market consensus · line only

X 3.07 market consensus · line only

1 2.78 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.45 market consensus · line only

12 1.37 market consensus · line only

1X 1.45 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.84 35.2%
X	3.11 32.2%
	2.83 35.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.74 36.5%	2.78 36.0%	2.87 34.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.77 36.1%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.18 31.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
	2.72 36.8%	2.76 36.2%	2.84 35.2%	2.70 37.0%	2.75 36.4%	2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.48 67.6%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.41 70.9%
home_draw	1.45 69.0%	1.48 67.6%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.49 67.1%

Match center

Osasuna

L D L L W

08.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:1 Sevilla

03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:0 Oviedo

26.10 17:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:3 Selta

18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:1 Atletiko Madrid

03.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:1 Getafe

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

4 Points

Real Sociedad

D W W D L

07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Elche

01.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:2 Athletic Club

24.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Sevilla

19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Selta

05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo Vallecano

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Real Sociedad

Osasuna

1 matches total

Real Sociedad

Osasuna: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Osasuna 2:0 (27.10 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 27.10 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

27.10 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Osasuna

2:0

Real Sociedad