La Liga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Osasuna — 44%
Model estimate: win Osasuna 43.6%, draw 27.1%, win Sevilla 29.3%. Model favourite — Osasuna.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Osasuna: Win 2.10 Osasuna: Draw 3.25 Sevilla Win: 3.40 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.10 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov Osasuna bolshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Osasuna menshe 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov Sevilla bolshe 0…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.79 55.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.67 59.9% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.41 70.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.54 64.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.65 27.4% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.20 31.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — |
Osasuna
Sevilla
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Real Betis
Alaves
Girona
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Levante
Atletiko Madrid
Oviedo
Valencia
Barselona
Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Sevilla
La Liga
Sevilla
La Liga
Sevilla
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Osasuna - Sevilla breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
