La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Valencia

Spain Futbol
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Valencia 24 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.15 / 2 3.10
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 39.1% / X 30.2% / Valencia 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 39.1%
X 30.2%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 40.9%
Under 2.5 59.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 3.19 31.4%
П2 3.22 31.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.42 41.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.18 31.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Osasuna
L D W W D
19.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 AlavesAlaves
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Valencia
D D L L W
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 AlavesAlaves
10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Valencia

Osasuna
1 matches total
Valencia
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (24.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
0:0
Valencia