Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

La Liga Spain

37 round 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 17:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

La Liga

Oviedo - Alaves

Spain Football

Oviedo

0 : 1

Finished

Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Alaves May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.04 / X 3.33 / 2 1.99
1X2 market: Oviedo 23.6% / X 28.6% / Alaves 47.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 23.6%

X 28.6%

2 47.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 42.2%

Under 2.5 57.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Nuevo Karlos Tartere (Ovedo, Spain), 21 111 zriteley (69% pri vmestimosti 30 500)

Referee Khose Munuera Montero

Start 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Oviedo - Alaves

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Ovedo - Alaves, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 37 round. Ovedo - Alaves, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 4.04 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.24 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 +1 2.45 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	4.10 24.4%	4.11 24.3%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.35 23.0%	4.00 25.0%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.20 31.3%
	1.90 52.6%	2.07 48.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.85 54.1%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.85 54.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.73 57.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.08 92.6%	1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.48 67.6%
Over 2.0	—	1.64 61.0%
Over 2.25	—	2.02 49.5%
Over 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 3.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Over 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 0.5	7.50 13.3%	—
Under 1.5	2.85 35.1%	—
Under 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

Oviedo

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Alaves

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Leander Dendonker Travmirovannye

Match center

Oviedo

L D L L D

14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:2 Real Madrid

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:0 Getafe

03.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:3 Real Betis

26.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:2 Elche

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:1 Villarreal

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Alaves

W D L W L

13.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:0 Barselona

09.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Elche

02.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 2:4 Athletic Club

25.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 2:1 Mallorca

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:2 Real Madrid

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Alaves

Oviedo

1 matches total

Alaves

Oviedo: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Alaves: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.01 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.01 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.01 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Oviedo

1:1

Alaves

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Oviedo

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Alaves

36 Games 36

6 Wins 10

11 Draws 10

19 Losses 16

26 Scored 42

56 Conceded 54

29 Points 40

83.64 Attacks 95.42

36.36 Dangerous attacks 51.88

0 Big chances 0

9.75 Shots on goal 11.28

3.31 Shots on target 3.72

8 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Toni Martines Abde Rebbash 0:1 17' Nakazaniya Tyago Fernandes 48' Federiko Vinyas 65' Lukas Aykhado 71' Yussef Enrikes 90+4'

Ovedo Alaves 36 Games 36 6 Wins 10 11 Draws 10 19 Losses 16 26 Scored 42 56 Conceded 54 29 Points 40 83.64 Attacks 95.42 36.36 Dangerous attacks 51.88 0 Big chances 0 9.75 Shots on goal 11.28 3.31 Udary v stvor 3.72 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.89 Uglovye 5 2.11 Offsaydy 2 12.5 Foly 14.89 45.42 % vladeniya myachom 48.56 2.03 Warnings 2.36 0.28 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Toni Martines Abde Rebbash 0:1 17' Nakazaniya Tyago Fernandes 48' Federiko Vinyas 65' Lukas Aykhado 71' Yussef Enrikes 90+4'