Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

La Liga Spain

28.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Oviedo - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football

Oviedo

0 : 1

Finished

Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Atletico Madrid February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.73 / X 3.43 / 2 1.83
1X2 market: Oviedo 20.2% / X 27.8% / Atletico Madrid 52.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 20.1%

X 27.8%

2 52.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 46.0%

Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 28.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Oviedo - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.83 market consensus · line only

X 3.43 market consensus · line only

1 4.75 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.19 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.99 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.56 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.86 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	5.07 19.7%
X	3.47 28.8%
	1.84 54.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.40 22.7%	4.85 20.6%	4.56 21.9%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.54 28.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%
	1.81 55.3%	1.81 55.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.92 52.1%	1.92 52.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.14 87.7%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%