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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 0
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Celta Vigo December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.56 / X 3.22 / 2 2.17
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 26.7% / X 29.5% / Celta Vigo 43.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 26.7%
X 29.5%
2 43.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.22 market consensus · line only
1 3.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.70 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.67 27.3%
X 3.28 30.5%
2.22 45.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Oviedo
L D L D L
14.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:4 SevillaSevilla
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
29.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Celta Vigo
W W L W L
14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
07.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
30.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
22.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 AlavesAlaves
09.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:4 BarselonaBarselona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Celta Vigo

Oviedo
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history