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La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.10.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
17.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Espanyol

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 2
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Espanyol October 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.13 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 32.1% / X 30.2% / Espanyol 37.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 32.1%
X 30.2%
2 37.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.1%
Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 3.14 market consensus · line only
1 2.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.98 33.6%
X 3.25 30.8%
2.57 38.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.92 34.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.50 40.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Oviedo
L W L L L
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 LevanteLevante
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:1 ValenciaValencia
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 ElcheElche
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Espanyol
L D D L W
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:0 GironaGirona
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ValenciaValencia
20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 3:2 MallorcaMallorca
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Espanyol

Oviedo
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history