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La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.10.2025 12:00 UTC Match prediction
04.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Levante

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 2
Finished
Levante
Levante

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Levante October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oviedo.

Line favourite market consensus: Oviedo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.37 / X 3.26 / 2 3.12
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 40.2% / X 29.2% / Levante 30.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 40.2%
X 29.2%
2 30.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Levante

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.12 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.59 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 3.32 30.1%
3.16 31.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.35 42.6% 2.31 43.3% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.39 29.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.24 30.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.09 47.9% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Oviedo
W L L L W
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:1 ValenciaValencia
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 ElcheElche
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 GetafeGetafe
30.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Levante
D L W D L
27.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:1 GetafeGetafe
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:0 GironaGirona
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 ElcheElche
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Levante

Oviedo
0 matches total
Levante
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history