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La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.12.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction
05.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Mallorca

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 0
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Mallorca December 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Oviedo.

Line favourite market consensus: Oviedo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.61 / X 3.00 / 2 3.01
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 36.5% / X 31.8% / Mallorca 31.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 36.5%
X 31.8%
2 31.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 37.9%
Under 2.5 62.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 2.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.65 37.7%
X 3.05 32.8%
3.11 32.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.62 38.2% 2.56 39.1% 2.69 37.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.12 32.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Oviedo
L D L D D
29.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 3:3 GironaGirona
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Mallorca
D L W L D
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 GetafeGetafe
02.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 Real BetisReal Betis
26.10 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 LevanteLevante
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Mallorca

Oviedo
0 matches total
Mallorca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history