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La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.08.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
24.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Real Madrid

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 3
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Real Madrid August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.65 / X 5.29 / 2 1.32
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 9.9% / X 18.0% / Real Madrid 72.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 9.9%
X 18.0%
2 72.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.2%
Under 2.5 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Real Madrid

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 market consensus · line only
1 9.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 3.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
10.39 9.6%
X 5.53 18.1%
1.32 75.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
9.25 10.8% 9.80 10.2% 10.20 9.8% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5%
X 5.10 19.6% 5.30 18.9% 5.43 18.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.33 42.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.20 31.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.55 28.2%
Match center
Oviedo
L
15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Real Madrid
W W W W L
19.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
24.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 SevillaSevilla
14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Real Madrid

Oviedo
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history