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La Liga Spain

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Oviedo - Valencia

Spain Football

Oviedo

1 : 0

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Valencia March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.16 / 2 2.68
1X2 market: Oviedo 33.7% / X 30.4% / Valencia 35.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 33.6%

X 30.5%

2 35.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%

Over 2.5 42.5%

Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Oviedo - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.69 market consensus · line only

X 3.17 market consensus · line only

1 2.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.50 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.54 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.88 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.86 35.0%
X	3.20 31.3%
	2.75 36.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	2.82 35.5%	2.90 34.5%	2.90 34.5%	2.85 35.1%	2.86 35.0%	2.86 35.0%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%
	2.70 37.0%	2.76 36.2%	2.60 38.5%	2.72 36.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%	1.40 71.4%
home_away	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.51 66.2%	1.51 66.2%	1.44 69.4%