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La Liga
La Liga Spain
26.10.2024 14:15 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Alaves

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Alaves October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.17 / 2 3.96
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 44.8% / X 30.7% / Alaves 24.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 44.8%
X 30.7%
2 24.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5 39.1%
Under 2.5 60.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.17 46.1%
X 3.17 31.6%
3.96 25.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.49 40.2%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.50 66.7%
2.73 36.6%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L W D D D
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Valladolid
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Leganes
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 GironaGirona
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Alaves
L L L L W
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Valladolid
06.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:2 GetafeGetafe
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Alaves

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Alaves
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history