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La Liga Spain

26.10.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

26.10.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Alaves

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

1 : 0

Finished

Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Alaves October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.06 / 2 3.86
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 44.0% / X 31.3% / Alaves 24.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 44.0%

X 31.2%

2 24.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 36.3%

Under 2.5 63.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 26.10.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.87 market consensus · line only

X 3.06 market consensus · line only

1 2.18 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.71 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.27 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.05 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.67 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.23 44.8%
X	3.08 32.5%
	3.93 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.12 47.2%	2.21 45.3%	2.24 44.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.14 31.9%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%
	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.65 60.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.66 60.2%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.64 61.0%	1.69 59.2%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.14 46.7%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.07 48.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.67 59.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.41 70.9%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

W W L L D

19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Levante

05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Real Sociedad

28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Sevilla

24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2:3 Atletiko Madrid

21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Selta

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Alaves

D W L D L

20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:0 Valencia

05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 3:1 Elche

27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:1 Mallorca

24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Getafe

20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:2 Sevilla

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Alaves

Rayo Vallecano

1 matches total

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Alaves: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Rayo Vallecano 1:0 (26.10 14:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 26.10 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

1:0

Alaves