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La Liga Spain

28.02.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Club

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

1 : 1

Finished

Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Club February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 3.07 / 2 3.09
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 38.4% / X 30.9% / Athletic Club 30.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 38.4%

X 30.9%

2 30.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 41.7%

Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.10 market consensus · line only

X 3.08 market consensus · line only

1 2.48 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.55 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.38 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.01 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.82 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.51 39.8%
X	3.19 31.4%
	3.17 31.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.44 41.0%	2.47 40.5%	2.56 39.1%	2.45 40.8%	2.40 41.7%	2.47 40.5%
X	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.19 31.4%	2.90 34.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.21 31.2%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.50 66.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

D W L L L

21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Real Betis

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atletiko Madrid

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:2 Real Madrid

24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Osasuna

18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Selta

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Athletic Club

W W W D L

20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Elche

15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Oviedo

08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 4:2 Levante

01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Real Sociedad

24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:2 Sevilla

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano

2 matches total

Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Athletic Club: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Athletic Club 1:3 (13.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 13.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

25.08 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

0:1

Athletic Club

13.04 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

1:3

Athletic Club