La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид

Spain Futbol
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Атлетико Мадрид
Атлетико Мадрид

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.

Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.08 / X 3.44 / 2 1.84
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 19.1% / X 28.2% / Атлетико Мадрид 52.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 19.1%
X 28.2%
2 52.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 43.0%
Under 2.5 57.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 5.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.08 19.7%
Х 3.44 29.1%
П2 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 2.06 48.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.65 27.4%
П2 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Атлетико Мадрид
W
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид 3:0 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points