Match center
Start
15.02.2026 15:15 UTC
15.02.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид 15 февраля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.53 / X 3.59 / 2 1.82
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 21.1% / X 26.5% / Атлетико Мадрид 52.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
21.0%
X
26.6%
2
52.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.82
market consensus · line only
X
3.59
market consensus · line only
1
4.54
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.21
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
2.00
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.21
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.54
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
4.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.04
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.80
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.66 21.5% |
| Х | 3.59 27.9% |
| П2 | 1.86 53.8% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.35 23.0% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.56 21.9% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% |
| Х | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.81 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.55 28.2% |
| П2 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.03 49.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% |
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L
L
L
W
D
01.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
24.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:3
Osasuna
Osasuna
18.01 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:3
Selta
Selta
11.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
02.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Getafe
Getafe
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Атлетико Мадрид
L
D
W
W
D
08.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
31.01 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:0
Леванте
Леванте
25.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
18.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:0
Alaves
Alaves
04.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Атлетико Мадрид
Rayo Vallecano
3
matches total
Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Атлетико Мадрид: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 0:3 (24.04 19:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 24.09 19:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (22.09 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
24.04 19:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:3
Atletiko Madrid
22.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Atletiko Madrid