Match center
Start
03.04.2026 19:00 UTC
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03.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Elche
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:
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Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Elche April 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.75 / 2 4.59
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 53.8% / X 25.4% / Elche 20.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
53.8%
X
25.4%
2
20.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Elche
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.59
market consensus · line only
X
3.75
market consensus · line only
1
1.77
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.05
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.59
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.35
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.60
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.74
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.85 26.0% |
| 4.33 23.1% | 4.65 21.5% | 4.80 20.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.65 21.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.00 50.0% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.70 27.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L
D
D
W
D
22.03 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Barselona
Barselona
16.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Levante
Levante
08.03 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
04.03 18:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
28.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
6
Points
Elche
W
L
L
D
L
21.03 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
14.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:4
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
08.03 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:2
Villarreal
Villarreal
01.03 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
2:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
20.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Elche
1:2
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.2
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Elche
Rayo Vallecano
1
matches total
Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Elche: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Elche 0:4 (21.12 17:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (0:4, 21.12 17:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.12 17:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:4
Elche
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