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La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.04.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 4
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol April 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.64 / 2 6.07
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 57.4% / X 26.6% / Espanyol 16.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 57.4%
X 26.6%
2 16.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.69 59.2%
X 3.64 27.5%
6.07 16.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.27 44.1%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.46 40.7%
Under 2.5 1.59 62.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.24 80.7%
4.43 22.6%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W L W D D
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 AlavesAlaves
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Valladolid
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Leganes
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 GironaGirona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Espanyol
L L W L L
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 SevillaSevilla
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Real BetisReal Betis
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Espanyol

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history