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La Liga
La Liga Spain
35-й тур 11.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction
11.05.2026 19:00 UTC 35-й тур
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Girona

Spain Futbol
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Girona 11 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.11 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 39.2% / X 30.5% / Girona 30.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 39.1%
X 30.5%
2 30.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 44.6%
Under 2.5 55.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Вальекас (Мадрид, Испания), 11 783 зрителя (76% при вместимости 15 500)
Referee Гильермо Куадра Фернандес (Испания)
Start 11.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Girona

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Райо Вальекано - Жирона, 11 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Испании по футболу (Ла Лига) 2025-2026, 35-й тур. Райо Вальекано - Жирона, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 Fonbet · line only
X 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.28 43.9% 2.52 39.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3%
П2 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.04 96.2%
ТБ 0.75 — 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.25 — 1.23 81.3%
ТБ 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 2.25 — 1.99 50.3%
ТБ 2.5 2.10 47.6% —
ТБ 3.5 3.80 26.3% —
ТБ 4.5 7.50 13.3% —
ТМ 0.5 8.00 12.5% —
ТМ 1.5 3.00 33.3% —
ТМ 2.5 1.70 58.8% —
ТМ 3.5 1.25 80.0% —
ТМ 4.5 1.08 92.6% —
Match center
Rayo Vallecano

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Girona

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Луис Фелипе Ильяс Ахомаш Травмированные Порту Марк-Андре Хуан Карлос Владислав Ванат Дисквалифицированные Иси Паласон CHAMP Брайан Хиль CHAMP
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W D W L L
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:0 GetafeGetafe
26.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.04 18:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 EspanyolEspanyol
12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:3 MallorcaMallorca
22.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Girona
L L L D W
01.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 ValenciaValencia
21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:3 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
10.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Girona

Rayo Vallecano
2 matches total
Girona
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Girona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rayo Vallecano 3:1 (15.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 15.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (25.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Girona
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:0
Girona
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Rayo Vallecano
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Girona
Rayo Vallecano Team comparison Girona
34 Игры 34
10 Победы 9
12 Ничьи 11
12 Поражения 14
35 Забито 36
41 Пропущено 51
42 Очки 38
94.03 Атаки 92.61
46.12 Опасные атаки 46.15
0 Голевые моменты 0
13.65 Удары по воротам 10.12
4.74 Удары в створ 3.76
аления 0.21 Голы Алешандре Журавски Унай Лопес 1:0 86' Кристиан Стуани Виктор Цыганков 1:1 90' Наказания Педро Диас 44' Кристиан Стуани 90+4' VAR Оскар Мартин 56'

Райо Вальекано Жирона 34 Игры 34 10 Победы 9 12 Ничьи 11 12 Поражения 14 35 Забито 36 41 Пропущено 51 42 Очки 38 94.03 Атаки 92.61 46.12 Опасные атаки 46.15 0 Голевые моменты 0 13.65 Удары по воротам 10.12 4.74 Удары в створ 3.76 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.88 Угловые 4.09 2.09 Оффсайды 2.06 13.44 Фолы 10.44 53.53 % владения мячом 50.5 2.74 Предупреждения 2.09 0.26 Удаления 0.21 Голы Алешандре Журавски Унай Лопес 1:0 86' Кристиан Стуани Виктор Цыганков 1:1 90' Наказания Педро Диас 44' Кристиан Стуани 90+4' VAR Оскар Мартин 56'