La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Leganes

Spain Futbol
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Leganes
Leganes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Leganes 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.19 / 2 5.71
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 52.5% / X 30.5% / Leganes 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 52.5%
X 30.5%
2 17.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Leganes

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.19 31.4%
П2 5.71 17.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.04 49.0%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.61 62.1%
ТМ 1.5 2.44 41.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.28 78.1%
П2 3.98 25.1%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
D D W
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 GironaGirona
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
5 Points
Leganes
D L L
22.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 1:1 GetafeGetafe
19.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Leganes 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Leganes

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Leganes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history