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La Liga Spain

16.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

16.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Levante

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

1 : 1

Finished

Levante

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Levante March 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.74 / 2 5.09
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 55.8% / X 25.5% / Levante 18.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 55.9%

X 25.4%

2 18.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 47.5%

Under 2.5 52.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 16.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Levante

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.10 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 1.71 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.15 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.83 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.72 58.1%
X	3.83 26.1%
	5.19 19.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.69 59.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.92 25.5%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%
	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%	5.27 19.0%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.90 52.6%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.10 47.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.13 88.5%