La Liga
La Liga Spain
11.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca

Spain Futbol
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 11 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.19 / 2 4.59
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 49.4% / X 29.9% / Mallorca 20.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 49.4%
X 29.9%
2 20.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 37.3%
Under 2.5 62.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.97 50.8%
Х 3.17 31.6%
П2 4.82 20.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3%
П2 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.73 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.85 20.6% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.16 46.3% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
D L D L D
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 ЭльчеЭльче
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
07.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Mallorca
L D W D D
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 GironaGirona
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 ValenciaValencia
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 3:1 ЭльчеЭльче
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 OviedoOviedo
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Mallorca

Rayo Vallecano
2 matches total
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Mallorca: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Mallorca 0:1 (20.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 20.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (24.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:0
Mallorca
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Mallorca