La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna

Spain Futbol
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 3
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 24 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.06 / 2 3.50
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 41.6% / X 31.1% / Osasuna 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 41.6%
X 31.1%
2 27.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.51 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.29 43.7%
Х 3.13 32.0%
П2 3.69 27.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.32 43.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.19 31.4% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
П2 3.35 29.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.68 27.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.05 48.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L W D L D
18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:3 SeltaSelta
11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 ЭльчеЭльче
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Osasuna
W L D W L
17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 OviedoOviedo
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 GironaGirona
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:0 AlavesAlaves
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
2 matches total
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Osasuna: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Osasuna 0:2 (14.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 16.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:2
Osasuna
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:1
Osasuna