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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.04.2025 12:00 UTC Match prediction
19.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Valencia April 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.19 / 2 3.47
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 41.4% / X 30.5% / Valencia 28.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 41.4%
X 30.5%
2 28.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 41.6%
Under 2.5 58.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.35 42.6%
X 3.19 31.4%
3.47 28.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 2.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
2.40 41.7%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L L W L W
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 EspanyolEspanyol
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 AlavesAlaves
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Valladolid
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Valencia
W W D L D
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 SevillaSevilla
05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 Leganes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history