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La Liga Spain

01.12.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

01.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

1 : 1

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Valencia December 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.18 / 2 3.83
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 45.2% / X 29.9% / Valencia 24.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 45.3%

X 29.9%

2 24.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 43.0%

Under 2.5 57.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.85 market consensus · line only

X 3.18 market consensus · line only

1 2.11 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.75 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.27 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.69 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.15 46.5%
X	3.15 31.8%
	4.06 24.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.17 46.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.29 30.4%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%
	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.99 25.1%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.88 53.2%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.92 52.1%	1.92 52.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%	1.28 78.1%

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

D D L W W

23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Oviedo

09.11 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real Madrid

01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:4 Villarreal

26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Alaves

19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Levante

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Valencia

W D L L D

21.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Levante

09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Real Betis

01.11 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:4 Real Madrid

25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:2 Villarreal

20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:0 Alaves

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Valencia

Rayo Vallecano

1 matches total

Valencia

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.04 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.04 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.04 12:00 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

1:1

Valencia