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La Liga Spain

37 round 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 17:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

2 : 0

Finished

Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.60 / 2 3.60
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 47.2% / X 26.4% / Villarreal 26.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 47.2%

X 26.4%

2 26.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%

Over 2.5 55.5%

Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Valekas (Madrid, Spain), 12 836 zriteley (83% pri vmestimosti 15 500)

Referee De Burgos Bengoechea (Bilbao)

Start 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Rayo Valekano - Vilyarreal, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 37 round. Rayo Valekano - Vilyarreal, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 3.60 market consensus · line only

X 3.60 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.03 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.79 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 4.15 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.99 50.3%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.60 27.8%	3.78 26.5%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%
	3.45 29.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.20 45.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.23 44.8%	2.32 43.1%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.77 56.5%	1.88 53.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75	—	1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0	—	1.29 77.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.56 64.1%
Over 2.5	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%
Over 3.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Over 4.5	5.25 19.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.00 25.0%	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.42 70.4%	—
Under 4.5	1.15 87.0%	—

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Villarreal

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Luis Felipe Ilyas Akhomash Alvaro Garsiya Travmirovannye Khuan Foyt Diskvalifitsirovannye Isi Palason CHAMP Renatu Veyga CHAMP

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

D D W D W

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Valencia

11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Girona

03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2:0 Getafe

26.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:3 Real Sociedad

23.04 18:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Espanyol

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Villarreal

L D W W D

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:3 Sevilla

10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:1 Mallorca

02.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 5:1 Levante

26.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Selta

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:1 Oviedo

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano

1 matches total

Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Villarreal: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Villarreal 0:4 (01.11 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 01.11 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.11 13:00 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

0:4

Villarreal

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Rayo Vallecano

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Villarreal

36 Games 36

10 Wins 21

14 Draws 6

12 Losses 9

37 Scored 67

43 Conceded 43

44 Points 69

94.37 Attacks 81.5

46.49 Dangerous attacks 41.22

0 Big chances 0

13.53 Shots on goal 11.61

4.69 Shots on target 4.56

Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Serkhio Kamelo Andrey Ratsiu 1:0 28' Aleshandre Zhuravski Oskar Trekho 2:0 47' Nakazaniya Floryan Lezhen 61' Unay Lopes 82' Santyago Mourino 90+6'

Rayo Valekano Vilyarreal 36 Games 36 10 Wins 21 14 Draws 6 12 Losses 9 37 Scored 67 43 Conceded 43 44 Points 69 94.37 Attacks 81.5 46.49 Dangerous attacks 41.22 0 Big chances 0 13.53 Shots on goal 11.61 4.69 Udary v stvor 4.56 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.83 Uglovye 4.03 2.08 Offsaydy 1.86 13.53 Foly 12.28 53.53 % vladeniya myachom 44.44 2.64 Warnings 2.11 0.25 Sendoffs 0.08 Goly Serkhio Kamelo Andrey Ratsiu 1:0 28' Aleshandre Zhuravski Oskar Trekho 2:0 47' Nakazaniya Floryan Lezhen 61' Unay Lopes 82' Santyago Mourino 90+6'