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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Betis - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Real Betis
Real Betis
1 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Celta Vigo March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.31 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 45.7% / X 28.8% / Celta Vigo 25.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 45.8%
X 28.8%
2 25.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Real Betis - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.08 48.1%
X 3.42 29.2%
3.93 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.08 48.1% 2.07 48.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.44 29.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Real Betis
L D D W W
08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 0:2 GetafeGetafe
01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 SevillaSevilla
21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
08.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Celta Vigo
L W W D L
06.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:1 GironaGirona
22.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:0 MallorcaMallorca
14.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Celta Vigo

Real Betis
1 matches total
Celta Vigo
Real Betis: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.08 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis
1:1
Selta