La Liga
La Liga Spain
29.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Реал Бетис - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
1 : 0
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Реал Бетис - Espanyol 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Реал Бетис.

Line favourite market consensus: Реал Бетис. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.17 / 2 7.32
  • 1X2 market: Реал Бетис 63.5% / X 23.3% / Espanyol 13.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 63.5%
X 23.3%
2 13.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.4%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Реал Бетис - Espanyol

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.32 market consensus · line only
X 4.17 market consensus · line only
1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.53 65.4%
Х 4.17 24.0%
П2 7.32 13.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.66 37.6%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.91 52.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.17 85.5%
П2 5.63 17.8%
Match center
Реал Бетис
D L W W L
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
23.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
18.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:1 GetafeGetafe
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:0 Leganes
01.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Espanyol
L L W
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 3:2 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
3 Points