La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Реал Бетис - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
0 : 0
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Реал Бетис53%

1 · Реал Бетис52.7%
X · draw24.8%
2 · Espanyol22.5%

Model estimate: win Реал Бетис 52.7%, draw 24.8%, win Espanyol 22.5%. Model favourite — Реал Бетис.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Реал Бетис - Espanyol 4 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Реал Бетис.

Strongest: Реал Бетис - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.76 / X 3.81 / 2 4.56
  • 1X2 market: Реал Бетис 54.1% / X 25.0% / Espanyol 20.9%
  • Glicko: Реал Бетис 52.7% / X 24.8% / Espanyol 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 54.1%
X 25.0%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 53.9%
Total ТБ 2.5
Score 2:1

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 16:30 UTC
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Реал Бетис 53%
💹 Market Реал Бетис 5408%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Реал Бетис - Espanyol

Real Betis: Победа 1.70 Real Betis: Ничья 4.00 Espanyol Победа: 4.75 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.80 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.00 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Betis больше 1.5: 1.73 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Betis меньше 1.5: 2.00 Индивидуальный тотал голов Esp…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 11
Statistics 24
Lineups 43
min Event Player Team
58' 58' Substitution 1 | Roberto Fernández | assist/sub out: Kike García Espanyol
62' 62' Yellow Card | Carlos Romero Espanyol
66' 66' Substitution 1 | Antony | assist/sub out: A. Ezzalzouli G. Aguilar Real Betis
67' 67' Yellow Card | O. El Hilali Espanyol
70' 70' Yellow Card | C. Riedel Espanyol
74' 74' Substitution 2 | Héctor Bellerín | assist/sub out: E. Ávila Adrián Real Betis
75' 75' Substitution 3 | Héctor Bellerín | assist/sub out: E. Ávila Adrián Real Betis
76' 76' Yellow Card | Aitor Ruibal Real Betis
Metric Реал Бетис Espanyol SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.38 0.2 final
Заблокированные удары 3 1 final
Удары мимо 10 6 final
Удары в створ 6 1 final
Удары всего 19 8 final
Фолы совершено 12 18 final
Желтые карточки 1 3 final
Офсайды 1 4 final
Real Betis #4 Urko González, #6 L. Cabrera, #8 Edu Expósito, #9 Roberto Fernández, #10 Pol Lozano, #13 M. Dmitrović, #16 C. Ngonge, #22 Carlos Romero, #23 O. El Hilali, #24 T. Dolan, #38 C. Riedel
Espanyol #1 Álvaro Vallés, #2 Héctor Bellerín, #3 Diego Llorente, #5 Marc Bartra, #6 Sergi Altimira, #7 Antony, #8 Pablo Fornals, #14 S. Amrabat, #16 V. Gómez, #19 C. Hernandez, #24 Aitor Ruibal
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol football.player.assists 0
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Дриблинг попытки 3
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Дриблинг успешно 1
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Единоборства выиграно 5
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Фолы совершено 3
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Сейвы 0
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol football.player.minutes_played 24
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Ключевые пасы 11
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Рейтинг (старый) 6.6
A. Ezzalzouli Espanyol Отборы всего 10
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Реал Бетис 54.8% 52.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.1% 24.8% draw risk
Espanyol 20.1% 22.5%
xG - 1.62 : 0.97
Total 2.5 Over 53.2% - Under 46.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.7% / 24.8% / 22.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,559 / 1,469 Real Betis / Espanyol
RD 74 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.56 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
X 3.81 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 52.7%
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%
12 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 75.2%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.22 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 53.2%
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 46.8%
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.83 54.6%
Х 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.98 25.1% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%
П2 4.30 23.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.45 22.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
ТБ 0.75 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.25 1.14 87.7%
ТБ 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 1.75 1.31 76.3%
ТБ 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 3.5 3.10 32.3%
ТБ 4.5 5.75 17.4%
ТМ 0.5 9.50 10.5%
ТМ 1.5 3.65 27.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.35 74.1%
ТМ 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Реал Бетис
Founded 1907
Espanyol
Founded 1900
Match center
Реал Бетис
I Isco Ankle Injury
JF Junior Firpo Injury
Espanyol
JP Javi Puado Knee Injury
PM Pere Milla Yellow Cards
Реал Бетис Founded: 1907
Espanyol Founded: 1900
Match center
Реал Бетис
L D L D D
22.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 SeltaSelta
08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 0:2 GetafeGetafe
01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:2 SevillaSevilla
21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Espanyol
L L D D L
21.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 GetafeGetafe
15.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
09.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 OviedoOviedo
01.03 13:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ЭльчеЭльче
21.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyРеал Бетис - Espanyol

Реал Бетис
3 matches total
Espanyol
Реал Бетис: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Реал Бетис 2:1 (05.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 05.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 5

Match history

05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис
2:1
Espanyol
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис
2:1
Espanyol
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис
1:0
Espanyol
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.