La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Реал Бетис - Osasuna

Spain Futbol
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
2 : 0
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Реал Бетис - Osasuna 28 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Реал Бетис.

Line favourite market consensus: Реал Бетис. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.87 / X 3.53 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Реал Бетис 50.8% / X 26.9% / Osasuna 22.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 50.8%
X 26.9%
2 22.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Реал Бетис - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 1.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.16 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.92 52.1%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 4.45 22.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2% 3.61 27.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.40 29.4%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.34 23.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3% 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
Match center
Реал Бетис
W D L D W
19.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 3:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:2 ЛевантеЛеванте
31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 SeltaSelta
22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:0 AlavesAlaves
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Osasuna
D L W L W
25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 ЭльчеЭльче
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 ValenciaValencia
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyРеал Бетис - Osasuna

Реал Бетис
2 matches total
Osasuna
Реал Бетис: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Реал Бетис 2:1 (19.10 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 19.10 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (11.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис
1:1
Osasuna
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис
2:1
Osasuna