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La Liga Spain

21.02.2026 15:15 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 15:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Betis - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Real Betis

1 : 1

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Rayo Vallecano February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.46 / 2 4.32
1X2 market: Real Betis 49.8% / X 27.9% / Rayo Vallecano 22.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%

1 49.8%

X 27.9%

2 22.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%

Over 2.5 49.7%

Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 15:15 UTC

Match center

Real Betis - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.33 market consensus · line only

X 3.47 market consensus · line only

1 1.94 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.91 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.24 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.01 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.94 51.6%
X	3.51 28.5%
	4.35 23.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.94 51.6%	1.94 51.6%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.52 28.4%	3.51 28.5%	3.51 28.5%
	4.33 23.1%	4.25 23.5%	4.35 23.0%	4.35 23.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.94 51.6%	1.94 51.6%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%

Match center

Real Betis

W W W L W

15.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 2:1 Mallorca

08.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:0 Atletiko Madrid

01.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 2:1 Valencia

25.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:2 Alaves

17.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 2:0 Villarreal

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Rayo Vallecano

W L L L W

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atletiko Madrid

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:2 Real Madrid

24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Osasuna

18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Selta

11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2:1 Mallorca

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Rayo Vallecano

Real Betis

2 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Real Betis: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (15.05 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

15.12 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Betis

0:0

Rayo Vallecano

15.05 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Betis

2:2

Rayo Vallecano